Stephen Grugett: Predicting the Future with Manifold Markets — Manifold #55

 

Stephen Grugett is the co-founder of Manifold Markets, the world's largest prediction market platform where people bet on politics, tech, sports, and more. 

Steve and Stephen discuss: 

0:00 Introduction 

0:52 Stephen Grugett’s background 

5:20 The genesis and mission of Manifold Markets 

11:25 The play money advantage: Legalities and user engagement 

20:47 Manifold’s user base and the power of calibration 

23:35 Simplifying prediction markets for broader engagement 

27:31 Revenue streams and future business directions 

30:46 Legal challenges in prediction markets 

31:47 Dating markets 

32:53 The Art of PR 

38:32 Global reach and community engagement 

39:27 The future of Manifold Markets and user predictions 

43:38 Life in the Bay Area; Tech, culture, and crazy stuff 

Manifold Markets: https://manifold.markets/