Tsinghua University (dad's alma mater) seems to be the only academic institution in the world keeping up with big corp labs like OpenAI, Google Brain / DeepMind, Baidu, etc. in large AI models.
— steve hsu (@hsu_steve) August 12, 2022
(NB: partnership with AI startup. Similar US examples?)https://t.co/lFjMBbVU7p pic.twitter.com/0il2R2iE2s
Wordcels (e.g., in policy or geostrategy) have mystical ideas re: at-scale AI research, mistakenly linking progress to lone geniuses / democracy / open society..
— steve hsu (@hsu_steve) August 12, 2022
They don't realize it's an engineering problem that requires *very* capable teams, but well within PRC capability 🤔
RUSI report: semiconductor content of Russian weapons. Snapshot below from conclusions.
— steve hsu (@hsu_steve) August 14, 2022
Miltech almost never uses leading edge (e.g., 7nm) chips. Much older e.g. 200nm process sufficient. RUS can source from PRC or use sanction evasion networks...https://t.co/ol5cpTPA0l pic.twitter.com/bdL4SqEn4f
I quote "expert" reports like this because wordcels / midwits can't reason from first principles.
— steve hsu (@hsu_steve) August 14, 2022
Right-tail obvious inferences which go against conventional wisdom ("sanctions will crush RUS economy and war machine!" "UKR will win!") need to be "sourced" from "real experts" 🤔
On midwits and wordcels: g factor depends on M,V,S. If only V is high while M,S are mediocre, implies total g is ony in midwit range even if V (ability to make vacuous but impressive sounding BS arguments) is exceptional.
— steve hsu (@hsu_steve) August 14, 2022
See Stephen J. Gould!https://t.co/958kZW7MIb pic.twitter.com/pqwQywyTWc
Yes. Chips RUS needs for weapons cost ~$1 these days & can be sourced widely. Plus PRC is on the verge of indigenous 7nm.
— steve hsu (@hsu_steve) August 14, 2022
Confusion reveals Dunning Kruger nature of our punditry and political (even strategic) leadership.
Plenty more strategic confusion:https://t.co/u2Zwk18z10 pic.twitter.com/ML4YXs0bbi
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