Tuesday, May 31, 2005

Short the real estate bubble!

Blogger Mark Kleiman, who lives in LA, did. What if you don't have a house in a bubble market? Well, now you can buy and sell derivative contracts based on median sales prices of existing single-family homes, as released each quarter by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Available markets include NYC, Chicago, SF, LA, SD and Miami.

The problem is, it's the smart money (short interest) looking at these new derivatives. The dumb money is out there flipping houses with no-interest mortgages! In addition, it may take a few years or more for this bubble to deflate...

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