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Pessimism of the Intellect, Optimism of the Will     Favorite posts | Manifold podcast | Twitter: @hsu_steve

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Steve Hsu
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Tuesday, December 29, 2020

China CDC Director interview: vaccine progress, viroid sequencing, transmission via food/packaging

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  This is a recent interview with the PRC CDC head, which includes:  1. Discussion of various vaccines. He confirms that their vaccine(s) ar...
Thursday, December 24, 2020

Peace on Earth, Good Will to Men 2020

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When asked what I want for Christmas, I reply: Peace On Earth, Good Will To Men :-) No one ever seems to recognize that this comes from...
Monday, December 21, 2020

Lianda

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The videos below are about Lianda, a wartime university located in Kunming that was formed by the merger of Peking University, Tsinghua Univ...
Sunday, December 20, 2020

PPP and the Shanghai Girl

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After PPP correction the PRC economy is significantly larger than the US economy, so it's important to understand what nominal GDP and i...
Monday, December 14, 2020

The Celestial Empire

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This lifestyle channel delivers daily vignettes from China (~5 minutes each), with an occasional episode from Taiwan. They have English su...
Saturday, December 12, 2020

Hot and Cold Wars in the 21st Century

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Both panels below are, in my opinion, realistic and focused on the key issues. Good discussion of competition in military technology is, in ...
Wednesday, December 09, 2020

Theory & Practice of Grand Strategy: Di Dongsheng, Renmin University (PRC)

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Professor Di of Renmin University (a top university in Beijing, closely associated with the CCP) is now world famous, after Tucker Carlson a...
Sunday, December 06, 2020

AlphaFold 2: protein folding solved?

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  This is a good discussion of DeepMind's AlphaFold 2 , a big breakthrough in protein folding. The details of how AlphaFold 2 works have...
Wednesday, December 02, 2020

Ditchley Foundation meeting: World Order Today

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Thursday and Friday (Dec 3 and 4) I will participate in this Ditchley Foundation event , in honor of Henry Kissinger. I'm unsure wheth...
Wednesday, November 25, 2020

Macroscopic Superposition States in Isolated Quantum Systems

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Happy Thanksgiving! :-) Macroscopic Superposition States in Isolated Quantum Systems   https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.11661    Roman V. Bun...
Monday, November 23, 2020

Bruno Maçães on the election and Trump 2024

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  Post-election observations from Bruno Maçães.  TrumpTV? Spectacle over Substance in 21st century American politics? Ivanka 2024? The Meme ...
Wednesday, November 18, 2020

Polls, Election Predictions, Political Correctness, Bounded Cognition (2020 Edition!)

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Some analysis of the crap polling and poor election prediction leading up to Nov 2020. See earlier post (and comments): Election 2020: quant...
Tuesday, November 17, 2020

The East Is Red, The Giant Rises

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Apologies for my recent inactivity. I've been busy finishing several projects and also distracted by our recent election. Possibly the b...
Saturday, October 31, 2020

Precision Embryo Genotyping and CRISPR Chromosome Deletions (Genomic Prediction)

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This recent Cell paper received a lot of attention as it suggests that CRISPR editing can result in chromosome loss. It was cited in the r...
Thursday, October 29, 2020

Othram helps solve cold case: killer of Siobhan McGuinness (age 5) identified after 46 years

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Othram , a DNA forensics company I co-founded, has helped to solve another cold case.  Montana Girl, 5, Was Abducted Near Home an...
Sunday, October 25, 2020

David Goldman (Spengler): China's Plan to Sino-Form the World

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The latest from the always entertaining David Goldman , who writes (wrote?) the Spengler column at Asia Times.   See 2018 post David Goldman...
Saturday, October 24, 2020

Composite Polygenic Risk Score predicts longevity

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The paper below (senior author at Johns Hopkins University) builds a composite polygenic risk score for mortality (longevity). Outliers (top...
Thursday, October 22, 2020

Replications of Height Genomic Prediction: Harvard, Stanford, 23andMe

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These are two replications of our 2017  height prediction results (also recently validated using sibling data ) that I neglected to blog ab...
Saturday, October 17, 2020

Down the Rabbit Hole: Mark Lane, the Zapruder film, and the JFK Conspiracy

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Putting these here for future reference. From comments: At minimum the evidence is strong for a CIA JFK coverup -- see last video, for exam...
Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Election 2020: quant analysis of new party registrations vs actual votes

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I think we should ascribe very high uncertainty to polling results in this election, for a number of reasons including the shy Trump voter e...
Sunday, October 11, 2020

US and China: A New Cold War (video interview with Lanxin Xiang)

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  This is an excellent discussion of the US-China geopolitical situation with Professor  Lanxin Xiang . Xiang was trained at SAIS (JHU PhD),...
Sunday, October 04, 2020

Othram Helps Solve 1974 Cold Case: Carla Walker Murder

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Othram , a DNA forensics company I co-founded, has solved another cold case.  Carla Walker of Fort Worth TX was tortured, raped, and mur...

Genomic Prediction and Embryo Selection (video panel discussion)

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  This is a recent panel discussion on genomic prediction, and applications in IVF and health systems (e.g., early screening of high risk in...
Monday, September 28, 2020

Feynman on AI

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Thanks to a reader for sending the video to me. The first clip is of Feynman discussing AI, taken from the longer 1985 lecture in the second...
Monday, September 21, 2020

Foreign Observers of US Empire

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Four recommended discussions, with perspectives largely absent from US media and establishment sources.  1. US, Russia, China, Iran: Geopoli...
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