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Pessimism of the Intellect, Optimism of the Will     Favorite posts | Manifold podcast | Twitter: @hsu_steve

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Steve Hsu
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Monday, February 29, 2016

Moore's Law and AI

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By now you've probably heard that Moore's Law is really dead. So dead that the semiconductor industry roadmap for keeping it on trac...
Saturday, February 27, 2016

Trump on Trump

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Someone sent me a link to this 1990 Playboy interview with Donald Trump . There's much more in the interview than what I have excerp...

Postdoc Position

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Please help me fill this position! This search is a bit out of sync with the regular postdoc application process, so I need some help spread...
Friday, February 26, 2016

Crazy like a fox

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Trump Unstoppable? Matt Taibbi writes in Rolling Stone. (Does Rolling Stone still exist? It's only a matter of time as the lawsuit(s)...
Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Behold, Atlas

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5 foot 9 180 lbs of robot genius :-)
Monday, February 22, 2016

DeepMind and Demis Hassabis

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Recent profile in the Guardian; 15 facts about Hassabis. The mastery of Atari games through reinforcement learning deep neural nets is d...
Sunday, February 21, 2016

Missing Heritability and GCTA: Update on PNAS dispute

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GCTA is a statistical method for estimating the heritability of a complex trait using (phenotype | genotype) data from unrelated individuals...
Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Elite schools, birthright, and credentials

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In mixing together the truly talented with the rich and powerful, elite US universities perform a useful service to both groups. Khan ...

NIH peer review percentile scores are poorly predictive of grant productivity

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The impacts of studies ranked in the 3rd to 20th percentile are more or less statistically indistinguishable. With current funding lines as...
Sunday, February 14, 2016

Free Harvard, Fair Harvard: Enrollment Trends

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The graph below shows changes in the number of Harvard students by ethnic group, relative to the total college age US population of that gr...
Friday, February 12, 2016

Epistasis and Complex Traits

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Short summary: To first approximation we can ignore gene-gene interactions in the prediction of complex traits. This paper examines specific...
Thursday, February 11, 2016

LIGO detects gravity waves

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Live-blogging the LIGO announcement of detection of gravity waves. Detection of an event in 2015 (initial science run of advanced LIGO) is g...
Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Free Harvard, Fair Harvard: Freeharvard.org

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We received confirmation from Harvard today that our petitions have been accepted and that our slate will appear on the Overseer ballots. Fo...
Sunday, February 07, 2016

Slate Star Codex on Superforecasting

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Scott Alexander (Slate Star Codex) on Philip Tetlock 's Superforecasting : Book review Highlighted passages . I especially liked t...
Saturday, February 06, 2016

Black Mirror

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The best bit, with Jon Hamm, starts @29min :-) Recommended by Auren Hoffman .
Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Trump: the Master Persuader

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Dilbert creator Scott Adams on Trump -- the Master Persuader :-) Donald Trump has a way with words—and with people. Yet despite his popu...
Sunday, January 31, 2016

Improved CRISPR–Cas9: Safe and Effective?

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Two groups (Zhang lab at MIT and Joung lab at Harvard) announce improved "engineered" Cas9 variants with reduced off-target editin...

Deep Neural Nets and Go: AlphaGo beats European champion

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I'm surprised that this happened so fast. I guess I need to update some priors :-) AlphaGo uses two neural nets: one for move selectio...
Saturday, January 30, 2016

Free Harvard, Fair Harvard: Let the Voters Decide!

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The petitions are in! Thanks to everyone who worked so hard to collect ~300 signatures in just the past two weeks. It appears we'll b...
Thursday, January 28, 2016

SMPY at 50: Research Associate position

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I'm posting the job ad below for David Lubinski. The Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth (SMPY) is the most systematic long term s...
Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Free Harvard, Fair Harvard: Harvard Magazine and CNN coverage

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We are rapidly approaching the February 1 deadline for petition signatures supporting our Free Harvard, Fair Harvard  (FHFH) campaign. ...
Monday, January 25, 2016

Autistic Monkeys via gene editing

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[[ Flash video here ]] See also De novo mutations and autism and Disruptive mutations and the genetic architecture of autism . Nature...
Sunday, January 24, 2016

Black Hole Memory and Soft Hair

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A recent paper by Hawking, Perry, and Strominger ( Soft Hair on Black Holes ) proposes a new kind of soft hair (i.e., soft gravitons or phot...

Hitler doesn't get a postdoc in High Energy Theory

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Via Peter Woit at Not Even Wrong . I think it's hysterical and also incisive. See also A Tale of Two Geeks and Voting and Weighing ...
Thursday, January 21, 2016

American and Chinese Oligarchies

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Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens Martin Gilens and Benjamin I. Page Each of four ...
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