1) Leonard Lopate interview with Economist editor Greg Ip, formerly of the WSJ. (Scroll down the page to Financial Crisis: What Happens Next?). This is the best 12 minute summary of the current situation I have yet heard. Ip is consistently good at explaining this complicated subject in an accessible manner. If you have a friend who is confused about the credit crisis, have them listen to this interview. (Avoid Terri Gross and pals on this one... ;-)
I have been listening to Leonard Lopate's show for some time and I can tell his grasp of finance has increased dramatically in the last year or so (his strength is interviewing artists, writers, etc.). It's yet another example of high-g at work. He knew almost nothing a year ago but now asks occasional perceptive questions. (But of course it doesn't matter how smart our next President is!)
2) Mark Thoma discusses the pros and cons of mark to market accounting. To me it's rather obvious that M2M accounting is exacerbating this crisis. It has introduced a very significant nonlinearity, both on the upside (bubble), and now in the collapse. If the market for mortgage assets has failed it is crazy to use it as a barometer for value. More discussion at WSJ.
3) This NYTimes Op-Ed written by a former theoretical physicist discusses agent-based simulation, behavioral economics and phase transitions -- yes, in an Op-Ed! (Thanks again to reader STS for the pointer.)
- Steve Hsu
- Professor of physics at the University of Oregon. Homepage. Archive (list of posts, by date and category).
Wednesday, October 01, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Blog Archive
-
▼
2009
(111)
-
►
06
(14)
- Fat tails and the cubic law of returns
- US Track and Field Championships in Eugene
- Don't cry for Michael
- Kids these days
- Genetic clustering: 40 years of progress
- Missing giants of modern science
- Why are modern scientists so dull?
- Happiness
- Spent, Miller and Kanazawa
- Plight of the risk managers
- Matter and Antimatter, Angels and Demons: slides, ...
- Vietnam: Strange Ground
- University rankings: research and faculty quality
- Princeton Companion to Mathematics
-
►
05
(13)
- Carlos Slim in the New Yorker
- Vernon Smith at Caltech
- Fermi problems
- Conquest: David Day
- Gillian Tett at LSE
- Matter and Antimatter, Angels and Demons
- The marshmallow experiment
- Darwin's Nightmare
- Capitalization of largest banks 1999-2009
- WolframAlpha: W|A
- Is there a China model?
- Economics, ant farmers and free will theorems
- Financial crisis meeting at Perimeter
-
►
04
(19)
- Life path integral
- Pandemics
- US Human Development Indices
- Neuroenhancement
- New York Times nearing bankruptcy
- Financial crisis and economics at Perimeter
- 50 years of John Searle at Berkeley
- The Quiet Coup
- James Yang graphic art
- Quantum books
- Life magazine photos
- Merton on the financial crisis
- Sugar Daddies: MIT grad starts high end prostituti...
- Rationality vs Intelligence
- Lawyerland
- A physicist from Iran
- Theories of games
- Netbooks and the twilight of wintel dominance?
-
►
06
(14)
Labels
- finance (160)
- globalization (151)
- physics (129)
- credit crunch (77)
- credit crisis (71)
- brainpower (62)
- genetics (45)
- technology (43)
- gilded age (40)
- economics (38)
- cdo (36)
- science (32)
- startups (32)
- derivatives (31)
- China (29)
- income inequality (28)
- mortgages (27)
- universities (26)
- bubbles (25)
- subprime (25)
- books (24)
- iq (24)
- ai (23)
- hedge funds (23)
- behavioral economics (20)
- careers (19)
- housing (16)
- elitism (15)
- innovation (15)
- psychometrics (15)
- treasury bailout (15)
- quantum mechanics (14)
- human capital (13)
- biology (12)
- cds (12)
- education (12)
- evolution (12)
- genius (12)
- efficient markets (11)
- foo camp (11)
- obama (11)
- quants (11)
- ultimate fighting (11)
- wall street (11)
- bounded rationality (10)
- photos (10)
- psychology (10)
- social science (10)
- american society (9)
- caltech (9)
- many worlds (9)
- expert prediction (8)
- genetic engineering (8)
- hedonic treadmill (8)
- robot genius (8)
- black holes (7)
- entrepreneurs (7)
- geopolitics (7)
- malcolm gladwell (7)
- politics (7)
- silicon valley (7)
- mutants (6)
- olympics (6)
- podcasts (6)
- real estate (6)
- academia (5)
- ashkenazim (5)
- berkeley (5)
- chess (5)
- freeman dyson (5)
- geeks (5)
- google (5)
- happiness (5)
- history of science (5)
- india (5)
- literature (5)
- manhattan (5)
- mathematics (5)
- mma (5)
- nassim taleb (5)
- political correctness (5)
- probability (5)
- qcd (5)
- sci fi (5)
- security (5)
- singularity (5)
- talks (5)
- university of oregon (5)
- algorithms (4)
- alpha (4)
- athletics (4)
- conferences (4)
- economic history (4)
- gender (4)
- hugh everett (4)
- kerviel (4)
- nobel prize (4)
- perimeter institute (4)
- poker (4)
- social networks (4)
- soros (4)
- sports (4)
- statistics (4)
- tail risk (4)
- teaching (4)
- travel (4)
- trento (4)
- venture capital (4)
- volatility (4)
- Einstein (3)
- aig (3)
- aspergers (3)
- autism (3)
- babies (3)
- biotech (3)
- charles darwin (3)
- cognitive science (3)
- cryptography (3)
- determinism (3)
- entropy (3)
- equity risk premium (3)
- fannie (3)
- feynman (3)
- flynn effect (3)
- free will (3)
- fst (3)
- games (3)
- goldman sachs (3)
- humor (3)
- japan (3)
- markets (3)
- mixed martial arts (3)
- movies (3)
- nerds (3)
- oppenheimer (3)
- paris (3)
- philip k. dick (3)
- scifoo (3)
- sivs (3)
- society generale (3)
- usain bolt (3)
- vietnam war (3)
- Go (2)
- ability (2)
- bear stearns (2)
- blade runner (2)
- blogging (2)
- bobby fischer (2)
- cambridge uk (2)
- charles babbage (2)
- christmas (2)
- complexity (2)
- computing (2)
- dating (2)
- eliot spitzer (2)
- environmentalism (2)
- eugene (2)
- facebook (2)
- france (2)
- freddie (2)
- game theory (2)
- harvard (2)
- inequality (2)
- intellectual history (2)
- iraq war (2)
- james watson (2)
- kasparov (2)
- les grandes ecoles (2)
- lewontin fallacy (2)
- lhc (2)
- ltcm (2)
- mccain (2)
- michael lewis (2)
- moore's law (2)
- music (2)
- neal stephenson (2)
- neuroscience (2)
- new yorker (2)
- no holds barred (2)
- nonlinearity (2)
- nuclear weapons (2)
- palin (2)
- path integrals (2)
- philosophy of mind (2)
- physical training (2)
- privacy (2)
- prostitution (2)
- pseudoscience (2)
- quantum field theory (2)
- race relations (2)
- rationality (2)
- renaissance technologies (2)
- risk preference (2)
- search (2)
- socgen (2)
- sprints (2)
- taiwan (2)
- television (2)
- turing test (2)
- warren buffet (2)
- 100m (1)
- 200m (1)
- Iran (1)
- Poincare (1)
- abx (1)
- alan turing (1)
- anathem (1)
- andrew lo (1)
- anthropic principle (1)
- art (1)
- assortative mating (1)
- atlas shrugged (1)
- ayn rand (1)
- basketball (1)
- bay area (1)
- bayes (1)
- beats (1)
- bill gates (1)
- book search (1)
- borges (1)
- brain drain (1)
- bruce springsteen (1)
- bunnie huang (1)
- car dealers (1)
- carlos slim (1)
- catastrophe bonds (1)
- ces 2008 (1)
- chance (1)
- charlie munger (1)
- cheng ting hsu (1)
- children (1)
- class (1)
- climate change (1)
- cloning (1)
- cochran-harpending (1)
- cold war (1)
- correlation (1)
- cosmology (1)
- cpi (1)
- crossfit (1)
- data mining (1)
- david x. li (1)
- democracy (1)
- demographics (1)
- dick cavett (1)
- digital books (1)
- dna (1)
- dolomites (1)
- donald mackenzie (1)
- drugs (1)
- econtalk (1)
- ecosystems (1)
- eharmony (1)
- empire (1)
- encryption (1)
- energy (1)
- epidemics (1)
- escorts (1)
- exchange rates (1)
- faces (1)
- fads (1)
- fake alpha (1)
- feminism (1)
- fiber optic cable (1)
- film (1)
- fitness (1)
- football (1)
- francis crick (1)
- fx (1)
- gary brecher (1)
- gaussian copula (1)
- geoffrey miller (1)
- gizmos (1)
- global warming (1)
- godel (1)
- government (1)
- greenspan (1)
- harvard society of fellows (1)
- history (1)
- hormones (1)
- hypocrisy (1)
- iit (1)
- industrial revolution (1)
- inflation (1)
- information asymmetry (1)
- information theory (1)
- intellectual property (1)
- intellectual ventures (1)
- internet (1)
- iphone (1)
- italy (1)
- jack kerouac (1)
- jaynes (1)
- jfk (1)
- jim simons (1)
- jiujitsu (1)
- john dolan (1)
- john kerry (1)
- john paulson (1)
- john searle (1)
- john tierney (1)
- jonathan littell (1)
- judo (1)
- keynes (1)
- kids (1)
- language (1)
- las vegas (1)
- lawyers (1)
- lee kwan yew (1)
- lehman auction (1)
- les bienveillantes (1)
- lowell wood (1)
- lse (1)
- luck (1)
- machine learning (1)
- mating (1)
- mba (1)
- mcgeorge bundy (1)
- meritocracy (1)
- mexico (1)
- michael jackson (1)
- mickey rourke (1)
- microsoft (1)
- migration (1)
- mit (1)
- money:tech (1)
- monkeys (1)
- monsters (1)
- myron scholes (1)
- nathan myhrvold (1)
- national character (1)
- net worth (1)
- netwon institute (1)
- networks (1)
- new york times (1)
- newton institute (1)
- nfl (1)
- nicholas metropolis (1)
- noam chomsky (1)
- nsa (1)
- offices (1)
- oligarchs (1)
- oliver stone (1)
- olympiads (1)
- patents (1)
- pca (1)
- phil gramm (1)
- philanthropy (1)
- philip greenspun (1)
- population structure (1)
- portfolio theory (1)
- power laws (1)
- prisoner's dilemma (1)
- quantum computers (1)
- randomness (1)
- realpolitik (1)
- recession (1)
- russia (1)
- sad but true (1)
- sales (1)
- satoshi kanazawa (1)
- sec (1)
- simulation (1)
- skidelsky (1)
- skype (1)
- software development (1)
- solar energy (1)
- standard deviation (1)
- star wars (1)
- string theory (1)
- students today (1)
- success (1)
- supercomputers (1)
- systemic risk (1)
- teleportation (1)
- tierney lab blog (1)
- tyler cowen (1)
- ufc (1)
- ussr (1)
- variance (1)
- venice (1)
- violence (1)
- virtual meetings (1)
- virtual reality (1)
- von Neumann (1)
- war (1)
- war nerd (1)
- wealth effect (1)
- ww ii (1)
- wwii (1)
3 comments:
Steve:
Glad you enjoyed that NYT OpEd. I liked the shout out to Doyne Farmer, whose work I have long admired. Economics badly needs some fresh insights from math, physics and biology. Those insights are appearing at the fringes, but need to start being take up into the mainstream.
A good response to the Op-ed
http://angrybear.blogspot.com/2008/10/whats-wrong-with-economic-theory-as.html
anonymous: thanks for that link. Waldmann makes several points in his post.
1) the op-ed attacks a caricature of economic theory
2) this caricature is not supported by any rigorous foundations (the really smart/mathematical economists know this, but perhaps not most of the community -- or perhaps they don't care)
3) but this caricature is the one used in real policy debates, so is worth attacking
The caricature is the same thing I attack around here, because many free market boosters really believe it. I'm a free market booster myself, to some extent, but don't have quite that level of blind faith in markets' optimizing capability or infallibility. And I certainly don't believe in any rigorous basis for real world economic results.
Post a Comment